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How much should Haaland cost in FPL next season?

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Initially priced at just £11.5m, owning the 36-goal Norwegian felt like an FPL cheat code. So how much should Erling Haaland cost for 2023/24?

Big things were expected when Haaland arrived at Man City from Dortmund last summer. But to this level? No adjustment period was needed at all, as an opening-day brace at West Ham was soon followed by three successive home hat-tricks.

His breathtaking start took ten matches to produce its first blank, going on to score a record-breaking 36 goals in his debut campaign. No player has ever netted so many in a Premier League year.

Naturally, this embedded him in the FPL template to the point where there was no joy in his goals. Barely any gain from his hauls, with captaincy often a boring decision.

So how will FPL Towers price Haaland for the 2023/24 season?

ALL-TIME SEASONAL POINTS

Ending with 36 goals, nine assists and 40 bonus points, his 272 total ranks fifth amongst historical high scores.

PointsSeasonPlayer
3032017/18Mohamed Salah
2952013/14Luis Suarez
2842009/10Frank Lampard
2832007/08Cristiano Ronaldo
2722022/23Erling Haaland
2712002/03Thierry Henry
2692011/12Robin van Persie
2692004/05Frank Lampard

Of the four above Haaland, Luis Suarez was immediately sold that summer, Cristiano Ronaldo became a £14.0m midfielder for the following season whilst the other two were priced as £13.0m options in the same position.

EACH SEASON’S MOST EXPENSIVE

So it’ll certainly be a rise from £11.5m for Haaland but the question is based on all-time prices and whether they’ll dare start him above the £14.0m joint-record.

£14.0m – Thierry Henry (05/06), Thierry Henry (06/07), Cristiano Ronaldo (08/09), Robin van Persie (13/14)

£13.0m – Frank Lampard (10/11), Sergio Aguero (16/17), Mohamed Salah (18/19), Mohamed Salah (22/23)

SeasonHighest pricePlayer
2022/23£13.0mMohamed Salah
2021/22£12.5mMohamed Salah, Harry Kane, Cristiano Ronaldo
2020/21£12.0mMohamed Salah, Sadio Mane, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
2019/20£12.5mMohamed Salah
2018/19£13.0mMohamed Salah
2017/18£12.5mHarry Kane
2016/17£13.0mSergio Aguero

It’s been ten years since someone’s initial price exceeded £13.0m but van Persie’s came after ‘only’ scoring 30 and 26 times over the previous two campaigns.

THE THINKING BEHIND HAALAND COST

There’s been a general acceptance that 2022/23 prices were fairly generous, possibly rectified on the next occasion. Haaland needs to be given a number that will force managers to think. Should 15-man squads be neglected by devoting so much money towards one player?

Over 9.5 million had him at one point. In the scenario where Harry Kane potentially joins Real Madrid, the situation worsens further because there’ll be one less premium to debate over.

PREDICTION

When Fantasy Football Scout staff were asked for an early prediction on Haaland’s 23/24 price, answers ranged from £13.5m to £15.0m.

Meanwhile, on FPL Team, he is estimated to be £14.0m and Fantasy Football Pundit says £13.5m.

It feels like £14.0m is roughly the community’s agreed-upon price but the official FPL season review email included this curious line at the end:

Maybe there’s a huge, jaw-dropping rise on the horizon that goes far beyond their £14.0m record. Something to shake things up a bit.